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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 May 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 26
  5. 28
  6. 31
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 892 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-04-30All recent draws2022-05-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 19 21 26 28 31 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 134 of each

5123times
19157times
21133times
26138times
28

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.2Mto 209k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$191.4K
  • Match 432%NZ$374.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$366.3K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$233.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

126times
31132times

Every number was expected about that many times after 891 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 19, 21, 28) with the draw of 13 October 2021 — its closest relative in 891 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 9.9 by chanceNZ$17,398
  • Match 5351≈ 325 by chanceNZ$541
  • Match 4 + Bonus719≈ 813 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 412,928≈ 13k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,264≈ 17k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3179,272≈ 179k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 15,264 winners, 12% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$17,398
    Match 5351NZ$541
    Match 4 + Bonus719NZ$61.00
    Match 412,928NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,264NZ$24.00
    Match 3179,272NZ$0.00
    Totals208,545—