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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 April 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 6
  3. 15
  4. 22
  5. 29
  6. 38
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 891 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-04-27All recent draws2022-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 6 15 22 29 38 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 April 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 134 of each

2135times
6134times
15152times
22142times
29

Prize breakdown · 2022-04-30

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 336k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$623.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$608.6K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$707.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

142times
38122times

Every number was expected about that many times after 890 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 15, 22, 29) with the draw of 7 April 2021 — its closest relative in 890 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 16 by chanceNZ$26,577
  • Match 5534≈ 519 by chanceNZ$592
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,360≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 420,785≈ 21k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,662≈ 28k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3285,830≈ 286k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,360 winners, 5% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$26,577
    Match 5534NZ$592
    Match 4 + Bonus1,360NZ$53.00
    Match 420,785NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,662NZ$22.00
    Match 3285,830NZ$0.00
    Totals336,184—