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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 December 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 6
  4. 13
  5. 14
  6. 17
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 853 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-12-15All recent draws2021-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 6 13 14 17 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd50th
  • low99th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

3121times
4121times
6127times
13123times
14

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-18

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 329k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$564.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$570.4K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$636.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

122times
17140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 852 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 13, 17) with the draw of 11 November 2020 — its closest relative in 852 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

57

The numbers add up to 57 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 15 by chanceNZ$35,824
  • Match 5477≈ 502 by chanceNZ$596
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,493≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$44.00
  • Match 420,149≈ 20k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,023≈ 27k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3276,521≈ 277k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,493 winners, 19% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$35,824
    Match 5477NZ$596
    Match 4 + Bonus1,493NZ$44.00
    Match 420,149NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,023NZ$19.00
    Match 3276,521NZ$0.00
    Totals328,673—