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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 December 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 20
  3. 24
  4. 31
  5. 34
  6. 36
  7. 28

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 851 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-12-08All recent draws2021-12-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 20 24 31 34 36 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

15143times
20127times
24130times
31127times
34

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 235k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$495.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$487.5K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$559.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
36119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 850 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 20, 31, 34) with the draw of 16 May 2020 — its closest relative in 850 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 December 2021): 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 11 by chanceNZ$31,476
  • Match 5389≈ 364 by chanceNZ$642
  • Match 4 + Bonus915≈ 909 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 414,163≈ 15k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,500≈ 19k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3200,490≈ 200k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,163 winners, 3% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$31,476
    Match 5389NZ$642
    Match 4 + Bonus915NZ$63.00
    Match 414,163NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,500NZ$25.00
    Match 3200,490NZ$0.00
    Totals235,466—