LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 29 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 830 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-09-25All recent draws2021-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 23 25 33 38 40 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

12124times
23137times
25124times
33115times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 301k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$582.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$558.7K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$642.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

111times
40125times

Every number was expected about that many times after 829 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 33, 38, 40) with the draw of 1 January 2020 — its closest relative in 829 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2021): 23, 33, 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 14 by chanceNZ$24,125
  • Match 5471≈ 466 by chanceNZ$610
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,120≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 418,784≈ 19k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,291≈ 25k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3256,600≈ 257k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,120 winners, 4% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$24,125
    Match 5471NZ$610
    Match 4 + Bonus1,120NZ$59.00
    Match 418,784NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,291NZ$23.00
    Match 3256,600NZ$0.00
    Totals301,280—