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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 21
  6. 32
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 827 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-09-15All recent draws2021-09-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 15 18 19 21 32 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

6122times
15140times
18131times
19146times
21

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 293k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$534.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$523.1K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$602K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

122times
32121times

Every number was expected about that many times after 826 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 19, 21, 32) with the draw of 18 December 2019 — its closest relative in 826 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2021): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 14 by chanceNZ$22,616
  • Match 5406≈ 451 by chanceNZ$663
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,159≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 417,830≈ 18k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,910≈ 24k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3248,629≈ 249k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 24,910 winners, 4% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$22,616
    Match 5406NZ$663
    Match 4 + Bonus1,159NZ$53.00
    Match 417,830NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,910NZ$21.00
    Match 3248,629NZ$0.00
    Totals292,950—