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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 28
  6. 37
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 826 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-09-11All recent draws2021-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 19 22 24 28 37 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

14120times
19145times
22135times
24127times
28

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 212k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 645%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$396.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$387.5K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$446.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
37114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 825 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 22, 24, 28) with the draw of 24 January 2015 — its closest relative in 825 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2021): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 9.9 by chanceNZ$11,829
  • Match 5312≈ 328 by chanceNZ$639
  • Match 4 + Bonus802≈ 821 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 412,794≈ 13k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,614≈ 18k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3180,900≈ 181k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 12,794 winners, 3% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$11,829
    Match 5312NZ$639
    Match 4 + Bonus802NZ$57.00
    Match 412,794NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,614NZ$22.00
    Match 3180,900NZ$0.00
    Totals212,441—