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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 13 March 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 19
  5. 22
  6. 26
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 773 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-03-10All recent draws2021-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 11 19 22 26 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each

1130times
7115times
11113times
19140times
22

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-13

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 340k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$507.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$506.8K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$569.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

126times
26119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 772 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 11, 19, 26) with the draw of 18 September 2019 — its closest relative in 772 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2021): 11, 22 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 16 by chanceNZ$14,251
  • Match 5695≈ 518 by chanceNZ$366
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,405≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$42.00
  • Match 424,187≈ 21k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,154≈ 28k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3285,514≈ 286k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 695 winners, 34% more than the 518 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$14,251
    Match 5695NZ$366
    Match 4 + Bonus1,405NZ$42.00
    Match 424,187NZ$21.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,154NZ$18.00
    Match 3285,514NZ$0.00
    Totals339,977—