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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 10 March 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 15
  5. 17
  6. 22
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 772 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-03-06All recent draws2021-03-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 11 15 17 22 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

19oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each

3110times
6109times
11112times
15134times
17

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-10

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 220k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$359.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$360.3K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$407.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

126times
22125times

Every number was expected about that many times after 771 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (6, 11, 15, 17, 22) with the draw of 10 June 2020 — its closest relative in 771 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 March 2021): 6, 11, 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 10 by chanceNZ$26,242
  • Match 5449≈ 337 by chanceNZ$406
  • Match 4 + Bonus903≈ 843 by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 414,380≈ 13k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,016≈ 18k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3185,838≈ 186k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 903 winners, 7% more than the 843 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$26,242
    Match 5449NZ$406
    Match 4 + Bonus903NZ$46.00
    Match 414,380NZ$25.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,016NZ$20.00
    Match 3185,838NZ$0.00
    Totals219,596—