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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 May 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 22
  5. 24
  6. 38
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 683 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-04-29All recent draws2020-05-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 9 22 24 38 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

694times
7104times
9101times
22110times
24

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 179k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 650%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$320K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$311.8K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$352.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
3887times

Every number was expected about that many times after 682 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 22, 24, 38) with the draw of 12 April 2014 — its closest relative in 682 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2020): 24 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 8.5 by chanceNZ$19,862
  • Match 5267≈ 280 by chanceNZ$590
  • Match 4 + Bonus615≈ 700 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 410,668≈ 11k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,991≈ 15k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3154,205≈ 154k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 12,991 winners, 13% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$19,862
    Match 5267NZ$590
    Match 4 + Bonus615NZ$59.00
    Match 410,668NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,991NZ$24.00
    Match 3154,205NZ$0.00
    Totals178,755—