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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 29 April 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 29
  6. 33
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 682 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-04-25All recent draws2020-05-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 23 24 29 33 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

1195times
1699times
23106times
24105times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-04-29

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$653.9Kto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.87

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$105.6K
  • Match 432%NZ$211.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$208.1K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$128.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.87 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

101times
3399times

Every number was expected about that many times after 681 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 16, 29, 33) with the draw of 19 July 2014 — its closest relative in 681 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 April 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 5.2 by chanceNZ$21,121
  • Match 5175≈ 173 by chanceNZ$599
  • Match 4 + Bonus369≈ 432 by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 46,607≈ 6.9k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus9,048≈ 9.2k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 395,203≈ 95k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 6,607 winners, 4% fewer than the 6.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$21,121
    Match 5175NZ$599
    Match 4 + Bonus369NZ$65.00
    Match 46,607NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus9,048NZ$23.00
    Match 395,203NZ$0.00
    Totals111,407—