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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotNZ$1,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 679 of 1,355 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 678 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 4, 6, 19) with the draw of 27 July 2019 — its closest relative in 678 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 April 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 49 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 13,481 winners, 22% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 5 | NZ$200,000 |
| Match 5 + Bonus | 15 | NZ$10,152 |
| Match 5 | 516 | NZ$293 |
| Match 4 + Bonus | 653 | NZ$53.00 |
| Match 4 | 15,663 | NZ$19.00 |
| Match 3 + Bonus | 13,481 | NZ$22.00 |
| Match 3 | 178,402 | NZ$0.00 |
| Totals | 208,735 | — |