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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 April 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 22
  5. 26
  6. 29
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 678 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-04-11All recent draws2020-04-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 17 22 26 29 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

3100times
15118times
17108times
22108times
26

Prize breakdown · 2020-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$781.1Kto 139k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$126.8K
  • Match 432%NZ$248.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$251.3K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$154.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

100times
29100times

Every number was expected about that many times after 677 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 22, 29) with the draw of 23 November 2019 — its closest relative in 677 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 April 2020): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 6.5 by chanceNZ$14,086
  • Match 5224≈ 214 by chanceNZ$561
  • Match 4 + Bonus544≈ 534 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 48,571≈ 8.6k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,421≈ 11k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3117,822≈ 118k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 544 winners, 2% more than the 534 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$14,086
    Match 5224NZ$561
    Match 4 + Bonus544NZ$53.00
    Match 48,571NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,421NZ$22.00
    Match 3117,822NZ$0.00
    Totals138,591—