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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 February 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 31
  6. 35
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 662 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-02-15All recent draws2020-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 24 25 31 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each

12101times
1696times
24104times
2596times
31

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-19

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.6Mto 431k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.4

Where the money went

  • Match 628%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$829.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$819.1K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$929.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

98times
35106times

Every number was expected about that many times after 661 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 16, 24) with the draw of 26 October 2019 — its closest relative in 661 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 February 2020): 31 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus24≈ 20 by chanceNZ$17,451
  • Match 5616≈ 667 by chanceNZ$674
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,652≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 425,934≈ 27k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus35,612≈ 36k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3367,446≈ 367k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 616 winners, 8% fewer than the 667 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus24NZ$17,451
    Match 5616NZ$674
    Match 4 + Bonus1,652NZ$58.00
    Match 425,934NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus35,612NZ$23.00
    Match 3367,446NZ$0.00
    Totals431,289—