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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 February 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 10
  4. 17
  5. 29
  6. 31
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 661 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-02-12All recent draws2020-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 10 17 29 31 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each

2103times
496times
10104times
17105times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.6Mto 466k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 3.6

Where the money went

  • Match 628%NZ$1M
  • Match 424%NZ$846.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$812.1K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$937.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 3.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

98times
3197times

Every number was expected about that many times after 660 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 10, 17, 31) with the draw of 13 November 2019 — its closest relative in 660 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 February 2020): 2 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 22 by chanceNZ$22,221
  • Match 5777≈ 714 by chanceNZ$539
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,861≈ 1.8k by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 429,197≈ 29k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus40,605≈ 38k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3393,552≈ 394k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 777 winners, 9% more than the 714 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$22,221
    Match 5777NZ$539
    Match 4 + Bonus1,861NZ$52.00
    Match 429,197NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus40,605NZ$20.00
    Match 3393,552NZ$0.00
    Totals466,012—