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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 September 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 14
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 32
  6. 34
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 619 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-09-18All recent draws2019-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 14 19 23 32 34 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

793times
1496times
19112times
2395times
32

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 325k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$591.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$591.2K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$668.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
3484times

Every number was expected about that many times after 618 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 14, 23) with the draw of 13 March 2019 — its closest relative in 618 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 September 2019): 7, 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 15 by chanceNZ$15,065
  • Match 5541≈ 500 by chanceNZ$552
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,322≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 420,395≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,873≈ 27k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3275,484≈ 275k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,322 winners, 6% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$15,065
    Match 5541NZ$552
    Match 4 + Bonus1,322NZ$52.00
    Match 420,395NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,873NZ$22.00
    Match 3275,484NZ$0.00
    Totals0—