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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 8 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 12
  4. 16
  5. 18
  6. 38
  7. 33

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 537 of 1,356 under them

← 2018-12-05All recent draws2018-12-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 12 16 18 38 + 3329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd1th
  • low95th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

281times
874times
1284times
1677times
18

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-08

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 266k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$448.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$439.7K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$508.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

92times
3869times

Every number was expected about that many times after 536 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 8, 12) with the draw of 15 September 2018 — its closest relative in 536 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 December 2018): 18 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 12 by chanceNZ$16,371
  • Match 5441≈ 412 by chanceNZ$515
  • Match 4 + Bonus988≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 417,241≈ 16k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,986≈ 22k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3226,990≈ 227k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 19,986 winners, 9% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$16,371
    Match 5441NZ$515
    Match 4 + Bonus988NZ$53.00
    Match 417,241NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,986NZ$22.00
    Match 3226,990NZ$0.00
    Totals0—