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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 5 December 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 24
  6. 25
  7. 14

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 536 of 1,356 under them

← 2018-12-01All recent draws2018-12-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 18 23 24 25 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

189times
569times
1891times
2380times
24

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$909.9Kto 170k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$147.9K
  • Match 432%NZ$288.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$293.1K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$180.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

80times
2579times

Every number was expected about that many times after 535 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 24, 25) with the draw of 24 January 2018 — its closest relative in 535 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 December 2018): 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 7.9 by chanceNZ$24,643
  • Match 5246≈ 262 by chanceNZ$596
  • Match 4 + Bonus704≈ 656 by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 410,687≈ 10k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,955≈ 14k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3144,576≈ 145k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 704 winners, 7% more than the 656 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$24,643
    Match 5246NZ$596
    Match 4 + Bonus704NZ$48.00
    Match 410,687NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,955NZ$21.00
    Match 3144,576NZ$0.00
    Totals0—