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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 28 November 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 19
  3. 20
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 38
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 534 of 1,356 under them

← 2018-11-24All recent draws2018-12-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 19 20 30 31 38 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

1890times
1997times
2074times
3074times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 148k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 652%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$296.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$284.4K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$328.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

74times
3868times

Every number was expected about that many times after 533 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 30, 38) with the draw of 11 August 2018 — its closest relative in 533 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 November 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19, 19–20, 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 6.9 by chanceNZ$18,475
  • Match 5246≈ 229 by chanceNZ$596
  • Match 4 + Bonus524≈ 573 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 48,714≈ 9.2k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,849≈ 12k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3126,329≈ 126k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 524 winners, 9% fewer than the 573 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$18,475
    Match 5246NZ$596
    Match 4 + Bonus524NZ$64.00
    Match 48,714NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,849NZ$24.00
    Match 3126,329NZ$0.00
    Totals0—