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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 24 November 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 25
  6. 34
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 533 of 1,357 under them

← 2018-11-21All recent draws2018-11-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 21 22 24 25 34 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

873times
2179times
2277times
2479times
25

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-24

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 226k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$441.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$433.0K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$491.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
3475times

Every number was expected about that many times after 532 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 24, 25, 34) with the draw of 25 November 2017 — its closest relative in 532 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2018): 8, 22, 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22, 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 11 by chanceNZ$18,463
  • Match 5298≈ 351 by chanceNZ$737
  • Match 4 + Bonus805≈ 878 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 413,780≈ 14k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,321≈ 19k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3193,500≈ 194k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 805 winners, 8% fewer than the 878 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$18,463
    Match 5298NZ$737
    Match 4 + Bonus805NZ$63.00
    Match 413,780NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,321NZ$25.00
    Match 3193,500NZ$0.00
    Totals0—