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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 July 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 33
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 493 of 1,355 under them

← 2018-07-04All recent draws2018-07-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 18 29 30 33 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

1069times
1588times
1881times
2977times
30

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-07

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 234k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$440.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$441.4K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$499.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

69times
3373times

Every number was expected about that many times after 492 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 29, 33) with the draw of 3 August 2016 — its closest relative in 492 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 July 2018): 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 11 by chanceNZ$22,514
  • Match 5347≈ 360 by chanceNZ$643
  • Match 4 + Bonus909≈ 901 by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 413,778≈ 14k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,064≈ 19k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3198,623≈ 199k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 13,778 winners, 4% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$22,514
    Match 5347NZ$643
    Match 4 + Bonus909NZ$56.00
    Match 413,778NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,064NZ$22.00
    Match 3198,623NZ$0.00
    Totals0—