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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 July 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 21
  4. 30
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 492 of 1,355 under them

← 2018-06-30All recent draws2018-07-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 21 30 35 38 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

664times
1380times
2173times
3068times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 148k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 652%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 415%NZ$295.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$284.6K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$331.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3864times

Every number was expected about that many times after 491 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 13, 30, 35) with the draw of 29 September 2012 — its closest relative in 491 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 6.9 by chanceNZ$14,926
  • Match 5215≈ 228 by chanceNZ$689
  • Match 4 + Bonus601≈ 570 by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 48,965≈ 9.1k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,375≈ 12k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3125,565≈ 126k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 601 winners, 6% more than the 570 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$14,926
    Match 5215NZ$689
    Match 4 + Bonus601NZ$56.00
    Match 48,965NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,375NZ$23.00
    Match 3125,565NZ$0.00
    Totals0—