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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 March 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 33
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 357 of 1,358 under them

← 2017-03-15All recent draws2017-03-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 17 23 27 28 33 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

1046times
1761times
2349times
2754times
28

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 38k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$509.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$492.1K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$541.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

52times
3354times

Every number was expected about that many times after 356 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 17, 23, 28) with the draw of 19 November 2016 — its closest relative in 356 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2017): 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 12 by chanceNZ$26,326
  • Match 5420≈ 384 by chanceNZ$586
  • Match 4 + Bonus957≈ 961 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 415,935≈ 15k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,505≈ 21k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,935 winners, 4% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$26,326
    Match 5420NZ$586
    Match 4 + Bonus957NZ$61.00
    Match 415,935NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,505NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—