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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 March 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 356 of 1,358 under them

← 2017-03-11All recent draws2017-03-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 23 32 38 40 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

154times
545times
2348times
3253times
38

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$822.6Kto 21k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 206lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$132.1K
  • Match 433%NZ$270.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$261K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$158.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

49times
4054times

Every number was expected about that many times after 355 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 32, 38) with the draw of 16 May 2015 — its closest relative in 355 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 March 2017): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 6.7 by chanceNZ$25,397
  • Match 5209≈ 222 by chanceNZ$632
  • Match 4 + Bonus648≈ 556 by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 48,204≈ 8.9k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,864≈ 12k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 648 winners, 17% more than the 556 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$25,397
    Match 5209NZ$632
    Match 4 + Bonus648NZ$49.00
    Match 48,204NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,864NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—