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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 23 November 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 6
  4. 7
  5. 30
  6. 40
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 324 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-11-19All recent draws2016-11-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 6 7 30 40 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

148times
244times
644times
748times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 23k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 184lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$298.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$281.3K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$318.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
4050times

Every number was expected about that many times after 323 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 6, 30) with the draw of 7 March 2015 — its closest relative in 323 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 6–7. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 6.7 by chanceNZ$27,854
  • Match 5263≈ 220 by chanceNZ$551
  • Match 4 + Bonus549≈ 549 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 411,045≈ 8.8k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus11,251≈ 12k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 11,045 winners, 26% more than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$27,854
    Match 5263NZ$551
    Match 4 + Bonus549NZ$63.00
    Match 411,045NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus11,251NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—