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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 19 November 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 23
  6. 28
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 323 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-11-16All recent draws2016-11-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 17 20 23 28 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

1040times
1354times
1755times
2048times
23

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$503.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$499.9K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$546.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
2846times

Every number was expected about that many times after 322 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 23, 28) with the draw of 6 August 2016 — its closest relative in 322 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 November 2016): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus27≈ 13 by chanceNZ$8,844
  • Match 5485≈ 426 by chanceNZ$512
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,065≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 416,770≈ 17k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,722≈ 23k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,770 winners, 2% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus27NZ$8,844
    Match 5485NZ$512
    Match 4 + Bonus1,065NZ$56.00
    Match 416,770NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,722NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—