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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 24 September 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 17
  4. 27
  5. 32
  6. 39
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 307 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-09-21All recent draws2016-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 17 27 32 39 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

1138times
1453times
1752times
2748times
32

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-24

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 194lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$574.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$557.2K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$626.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
3948times

Every number was expected about that many times after 306 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 17, 32, 39) with the draw of 24 August 2016 — its closest relative in 306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2016): 11, 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 13 by chanceNZ$24,890
  • Match 5426≈ 418 by chanceNZ$668
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,017≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 417,946≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,288≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,946 winners, 7% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$24,890
    Match 5426NZ$668
    Match 4 + Bonus1,017NZ$67.00
    Match 417,946NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,288NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—