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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 September 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 16
  3. 22
  4. 25
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 305 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-09-14All recent draws2016-09-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 16 22 25 34 40 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

642times
1639times
2240times
2535times
34

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 38k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$276.5K
  • Match 433%NZ$565.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$542.8K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$332.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
4048times

Every number was expected about that many times after 304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 25, 34) with the draw of 20 July 2016 — its closest relative in 304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2016): 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 12 by chanceNZ$29,554
  • Match 5403≈ 391 by chanceNZ$686
  • Match 4 + Bonus907≈ 979 by chanceNZ$73.00
  • Match 416,159≈ 16k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,875≈ 21k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 907 winners, 7% fewer than the 979 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$29,554
    Match 5403NZ$686
    Match 4 + Bonus907NZ$73.00
    Match 416,159NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,875NZ$26.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—