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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 20 January 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 24
  5. 28
  6. 34
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 236 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-01-16All recent draws2016-01-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 17 24 28 34 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

433times
1233times
1739times
2436times
28

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 196lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.97

Where the money went

  • Match 657%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 414%NZ$248.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus13%NZ$235.0K
  • 3 other tiers15%NZ$264.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.97 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
3431times

Every number was expected about that many times after 235 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 24, 34) with the draw of 17 October 2015 — its closest relative in 235 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 January 2016): 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 5.8 by chanceNZ$19,274
  • Match 5213≈ 192 by chanceNZ$564
  • Match 4 + Bonus500≈ 479 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 48,007≈ 7.7k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus10,216≈ 10k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 8,007 winners, 5% more than the 7.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$19,274
    Match 5213NZ$564
    Match 4 + Bonus500NZ$57.00
    Match 48,007NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus10,216NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—