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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 January 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 26
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 235 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-01-13All recent draws2016-01-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 26 33 34 38 40 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

527times
2639times
3339times
3430times
38

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 35k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$505.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$479.0K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$538.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
4037times

Every number was expected about that many times after 234 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (26, 33, 34, 38) with the draw of 4 February 2012 — its closest relative in 234 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 41% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 January 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

176

The numbers add up to 176 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 11 by chanceNZ$23,550
  • Match 5306≈ 359 by chanceNZ$800
  • Match 4 + Bonus839≈ 898 by chanceNZ$69.00
  • Match 414,879≈ 14k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,158≈ 19k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 839 winners, 7% fewer than the 898 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$23,550
    Match 5306NZ$800
    Match 4 + Bonus839NZ$69.00
    Match 414,879NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,158NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—