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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 January 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 30
  6. 32
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 231 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-12-30All recent draws2016-01-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 22 24 30 32 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

138times
526times
2226times
2435times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 208lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$296.7K
  • Match 433%NZ$605.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$576K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$355.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
3228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 230 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 32) with the draw of 16 May 2015 — its closest relative in 230 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 December 2015): 24 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus23≈ 15 by chanceNZ$12,407
  • Match 5411≈ 491 by chanceNZ$722
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,230≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 417,816≈ 20k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,182≈ 26k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,816 winners, 9% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus23NZ$12,407
    Match 5411NZ$722
    Match 4 + Bonus1,230NZ$57.00
    Match 417,816NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,182NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—