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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 December 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 27
  5. 36
  6. 40
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 230 of 1,356 under them

← 2015-12-26All recent draws2016-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 19 24 27 36 40 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

1126times
1947times
2434times
2738times
36

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 22k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$297.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$279.5K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$317.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

35times
4035times

Every number was expected about that many times after 229 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 27, 36, 40) with the draw of 24 August 2013 — its closest relative in 229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2015): 27, 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 6.9 by chanceNZ$23,001
  • Match 5219≈ 228 by chanceNZ$665
  • Match 4 + Bonus550≈ 570 by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 49,010≈ 9.1k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,151≈ 12k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 550 winners, 3% fewer than the 570 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$23,001
    Match 5219NZ$665
    Match 4 + Bonus550NZ$62.00
    Match 49,010NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,151NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—