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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 December 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 14
  4. 18
  5. 19
  6. 21
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 226 of 1,356 under them

← 2015-12-12All recent draws2015-12-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 14 18 19 21 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

431times
525times
1436times
1843times
19

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 652%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$306.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$295.7K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$334.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

46times
2135times

Every number was expected about that many times after 225 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 18, 21) with the draw of 2 December 2015 — its closest relative in 225 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5, 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 7.6 by chanceNZ$20,901
  • Match 5297≈ 252 by chanceNZ$512
  • Match 4 + Bonus692≈ 630 by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 410,569≈ 10k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus13,439≈ 13k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 692 winners, 10% more than the 630 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$20,901
    Match 5297NZ$512
    Match 4 + Bonus692NZ$52.00
    Match 410,569NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus13,439NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—