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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 December 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 33
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 225 of 1,356 under them

← 2015-12-09All recent draws2015-12-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 23 25 27 33 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd95th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

136times
1630times
2331times
2523times
27

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-12

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 207lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$539.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$526.6K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$584.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
3338times

Every number was expected about that many times after 224 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 23, 27) with the draw of 10 October 2015 — its closest relative in 224 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 December 2015): 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$19,659
  • Match 5371≈ 429 by chanceNZ$716
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,068≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 415,876≈ 17k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,896≈ 23k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,876 winners, 8% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$19,659
    Match 5371NZ$716
    Match 4 + Bonus1,068NZ$59.00
    Match 415,876NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,896NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—