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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 7 October 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 14
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 31
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 206 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-10-03All recent draws2015-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 14 23 28 31 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

330times
727times
1431times
2324times
28

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-07

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$655.6Kto 18k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.95

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$105.1K
  • Match 433%NZ$214.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$209.7K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$125.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.95 by chanceNZ$1,000,000

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
3134times

Every number was expected about that many times after 205 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 23, 28) with the draw of 22 November 2014 — its closest relative in 205 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2015): 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 5 + Bonus4≈ 5.7 by chanceNZ$25,281
  • Match 5155≈ 187 by chanceNZ$678
  • Match 4 + Bonus551≈ 468 by chanceNZ$45.00
  • Match 47,160≈ 7.5k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus9,988≈ 10.0k by chanceNZ$21.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 7,160 winners, 4% fewer than the 7.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus4NZ$25,281
    Match 5155NZ$678
    Match 4 + Bonus551NZ$45.00
    Match 47,160NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus9,988NZ$21.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—