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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 26 September 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 18
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 26
  6. 34
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 204 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-09-19All recent draws2015-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 18 22 23 26 34 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

133times
1839times
2223times
2322times
26

Prize breakdown · 2015-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 211lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$261.5K
  • Match 433%NZ$534.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$508.2K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$314K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
3426times

Every number was expected about that many times after 203 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 22, 26) with the draw of 8 August 2015 — its closest relative in 203 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2015): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 13 by chanceNZ$31,452
  • Match 5398≈ 433 by chanceNZ$657
  • Match 4 + Bonus991≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 415,265≈ 17k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,100≈ 23k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,265 winners, 12% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$31,452
    Match 5398NZ$657
    Match 4 + Bonus991NZ$63.00
    Match 415,265NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,100NZ$22.00