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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 September 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 17
  3. 19
  4. 24
  5. 34
  6. 35
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 202 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-09-05All recent draws2015-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 17 19 24 34 35 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1626times
1732times
1940times
2429times
34

Prize breakdown · 2015-09-12

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 207lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$584.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$550.2K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$621.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
3536times

Every number was expected about that many times after 201 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 19, 35) with the draw of 30 August 2014 — its closest relative in 201 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 September 2015): 19, 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 13 by chanceNZ$27,181
  • Match 5395≈ 413 by chanceNZ$715
  • Match 4 + Bonus925≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$73.00
  • Match 415,374≈ 17k by chanceNZ$38.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,008≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 925 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$27,181
    Match 5395NZ$715
    Match 4 + Bonus925NZ$73.00
    Match 415,374NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,008NZ$25.00