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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 September 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$3,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 201 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-08-29All recent draws2015-09-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 19 31 35 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

131times
1124times
1939times
3133times
35

Prize breakdown · 2015-09-05

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.2Mto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 658%NZ$3M
  • Match 414%NZ$727.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus13%NZ$697K
  • 3 other tiers15%NZ$783.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

35times
4031times

Every number was expected about that many times after 200 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 35, 40) with the draw of 17 January 2015 — its closest relative in 200 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 August 2015): 31 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 17 by chanceNZ$21,397
  • Match 5618≈ 568 by chanceNZ$576
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,448≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 423,481≈ 23k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,304≈ 30k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 618 winners, 9% more than the 568 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$21,397
    Match 5618NZ$576
    Match 4 + Bonus1,448NZ$59.00
    Match 423,481NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,304NZ$23.00