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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 August 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 38
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 199 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-08-15All recent draws2015-08-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 8 20 26 38 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

130times
328times
833times
2030times
26

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$266.9K
  • Match 433%NZ$546.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$533.2K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$320.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
3829times

Every number was expected about that many times after 198 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 8, 26) with the draw of 5 January 2013 — its closest relative in 198 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 36% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2015): 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 13 by chanceNZ$36,662
  • Match 5421≈ 417 by chanceNZ$634
  • Match 4 + Bonus980≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 416,556≈ 17k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,218≈ 22k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 980 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$36,662
    Match 5421NZ$634
    Match 4 + Bonus980NZ$65.00
    Match 416,556NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,218NZ$24.00