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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 August 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 22
  4. 26
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 198 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-08-08All recent draws2015-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 22 26 35 40 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

429times
1225times
2222times
2632times
35

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 43k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 211lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$553.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$544.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$594.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
4030times

Every number was expected about that many times after 197 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 26, 35) with the draw of 18 July 2015 — its closest relative in 197 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2015): 22, 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 14 by chanceNZ$13,673
  • Match 5378≈ 464 by chanceNZ$715
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,218≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 416,269≈ 19k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,740≈ 25k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,269 winners, 12% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$13,673
    Match 5378NZ$715
    Match 4 + Bonus1,218NZ$53.00
    Match 416,269NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,740NZ$22.00