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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 July 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 31
  6. 36
  7. 32

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 193 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-07-04All recent draws2015-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 15 17 31 36 + 3229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

831times
1123times
1534times
1730times
31

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 38k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$544.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$523.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$583.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

31times
3631times

Every number was expected about that many times after 192 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 15, 31) with the draw of 31 January 2015 — its closest relative in 192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 11 by chanceNZ$36,423
  • Match 5386≈ 378 by chanceNZ$687
  • Match 4 + Bonus943≈ 944 by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 416,019≈ 15k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,149≈ 20k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,019 winners, 6% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$36,423
    Match 5386NZ$687
    Match 4 + Bonus943NZ$67.00
    Match 416,019NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,149NZ$26.00