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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 July 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 10
  4. 16
  5. 18
  6. 38
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 192 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-06-27All recent draws2015-07-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 10 16 18 38 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

327times
726times
1026times
1625times
18

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$538.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$528.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$583.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
3828times

Every number was expected about that many times after 191 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 10, 16, 38) with the draw of 29 June 2013 — its closest relative in 191 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2015): 18 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 14 by chanceNZ$12,741
  • Match 5429≈ 472 by chanceNZ$618
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,267≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 417,935≈ 19k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,177≈ 25k by chanceNZ$21.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,267 winners, 7% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$12,741
    Match 5429NZ$618
    Match 4 + Bonus1,267NZ$50.00
    Match 417,935NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,177NZ$21.00