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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 April 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 37
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 181 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-04-11All recent draws2015-04-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 15 18 21 23 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

627times
1531times
1831times
2129times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-04-18

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$554.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$524.6K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$589.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
3724times

Every number was expected about that many times after 180 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 18, 21) with the draw of 21 February 2015 — its closest relative in 180 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 April 2015): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 13 by chanceNZ$23,436
  • Match 5436≈ 428 by chanceNZ$615
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,099≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 416,322≈ 17k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,810≈ 23k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,322 winners, 5% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$23,436
    Match 5436NZ$615
    Match 4 + Bonus1,099NZ$58.00
    Match 416,322NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,810NZ$23.00