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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 April 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 19
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 33
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 180 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-04-04All recent draws2015-04-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 19 21 26 33 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

324times
428times
1935times
2128times
26

Prize breakdown · 2015-04-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$545.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$519K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$584.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
3332times

Every number was expected about that many times after 179 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 21, 26) with the draw of 6 December 2014 — its closest relative in 179 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 April 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 12 by chanceNZ$25,549
  • Match 5402≈ 389 by chanceNZ$661
  • Match 4 + Bonus909≈ 973 by chanceNZ$70.00
  • Match 416,535≈ 16k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,761≈ 21k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 909 winners, 7% fewer than the 973 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$25,549
    Match 5402NZ$661
    Match 4 + Bonus909NZ$70.00
    Match 416,535NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,761NZ$25.00