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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 24 January 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 27
  6. 28
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 169 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-01-17All recent draws2015-01-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 19 22 24 27 28 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

825times
1934times
2218times
2427times
27

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-24

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 43k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$543.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$524K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$583.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
2822times

Every number was expected about that many times after 168 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 19, 24, 28) with the draw of 15 February 2014 — its closest relative in 168 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 31% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 January 2015): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 14 by chanceNZ$28,347
  • Match 5458≈ 447 by chanceNZ$579
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,110≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 417,543≈ 18k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,817≈ 24k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,543 winners, 2% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$28,347
    Match 5458NZ$579
    Match 4 + Bonus1,110NZ$57.00
    Match 417,543NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,817NZ$22.00