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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 November 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 34
  6. 37
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 160 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-11-15All recent draws2014-11-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 23 28 34 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

323times
1723times
2318times
2818times
34

Prize breakdown · 2014-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 49k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$658K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$646.6K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$712.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
3721times

Every number was expected about that many times after 159 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 28, 34) with the draw of 15 November 2014 — its closest relative in 159 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2014): 23, 28, 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 15 by chanceNZ$19,475
  • Match 5489≈ 505 by chanceNZ$662
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,329≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 419,940≈ 20k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,943≈ 27k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,329 winners, 5% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$19,475
    Match 5489NZ$662
    Match 4 + Bonus1,329NZ$58.00
    Match 419,940NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,943NZ$24.00