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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 November 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 159 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-11-08All recent draws2014-11-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 23 27 28 34 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

1622times
2317times
2726times
2817times
34

Prize breakdown · 2014-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$640.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$623.8K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$688.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
4024times

Every number was expected about that many times after 158 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (27, 34, 40) with the draw of 22 February 2014 — its closest relative in 158 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,806
  • Match 5452≈ 468 by chanceNZ$692
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,168≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 418,296≈ 19k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,952≈ 25k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 18,296 winners, 2% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$18,806
    Match 5452NZ$692
    Match 4 + Bonus1,168NZ$64.00
    Match 418,296NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,952NZ$25.00