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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 March 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 19
  5. 22
  6. 36
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 124 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-03-08All recent draws2014-03-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 6 11 19 22 36 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

219times
620times
1116times
1921times
22

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 185lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$569.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$555.6K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$614K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
3620times

Every number was expected about that many times after 123 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 11, 19) with the draw of 14 September 2013 — its closest relative in 123 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 March 2014): 6 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 12 by chanceNZ$14,903
  • Match 5436≈ 401 by chanceNZ$640
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,059≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 418,997≈ 16k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,370≈ 21k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 18,997 winners, 19% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$14,903
    Match 5436NZ$640
    Match 4 + Bonus1,059NZ$63.00
    Match 418,997NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,370NZ$26.00