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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 8 March 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 8
  4. 18
  5. 28
  6. 35
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 123 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-03-01All recent draws2014-03-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 8 18 28 35 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

315times
619times
821times
1821times
28

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-08

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$554.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$538.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$593.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
3519times

Every number was expected about that many times after 122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 18, 28) with the draw of 16 November 2013 — its closest relative in 122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,506
  • Match 5553≈ 459 by chanceNZ$487
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,580≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$41.00
  • Match 418,477≈ 18k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,463≈ 24k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,580 winners, 38% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$18,506
    Match 5553NZ$487
    Match 4 + Bonus1,580NZ$41.00
    Match 418,477NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,463NZ$22.00