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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 January 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 22
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 39
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 115 of 1,356 under them

← 2014-01-04All recent draws2014-01-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 22 30 31 39 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

1013times
1217times
229times
3016times
31

Prize breakdown · 2014-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 207lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$609.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$598.3K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$651.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
3920times

Every number was expected about that many times after 114 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 31, 39) with the draw of 15 June 2013 — its closest relative in 114 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2014): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 15 by chanceNZ$16,754
  • Match 5428≈ 488 by chanceNZ$692
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,235≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 417,914≈ 20k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,014≈ 26k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,914 winners, 8% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$16,754
    Match 5428NZ$692
    Match 4 + Bonus1,235NZ$57.00
    Match 417,914NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,014NZ$23.00